ATTACHMENT 1: POPULATION PROJECTIONS BY MUNICIPALITY

TABLE 1: POPULATION, DWELLING UNIT AND EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS

Municipality	2011 Population	2011 Dwellings	2011 Employment	2038 Population	2038 Dwellings	2038 Employment	Population Change Total	Population Change Percentage
Core
Esquimalt	16,600	8,300	11,100	18,300	9,500	12,200	1,700	10.2%
Oak Bay	18,200	8,000	7,300	15,300	8,400	7,200	-2,900	-15.9%
Saanich	112,100	46,600	42,300	128,600	56,300	55,500	16,500	14.7%
Victoria	82,400	44,400	76,400	99,500	56,500	84,100	17,100	20.8%
View Royal	9,600	4,100	4,800	15,000	6,700	5,900	5,400	56.3%
Total	238,900	111,400	141,900	276,700	137,400	164,900	37,800	15.8%
Saanich Peninsula
Central Saanich	16,100	6,500	8,900	21,600	8,300	10,700	5,500	34.2%
North Saanich	11,100	4,400	5,300	13,800	6,000	6,600	2,700	24.3%
Sidney	11,200	5,200	6,100	11,900	6,600	7,600	700	6.3%
Total	38,400	16,100	20,300	47,300	20,900	24,900	8,900	23.2%
West Shore
Colwood	16,600	6,100	4,000	31,100	12,200	6,800	14,500	87.3%
Highlands	2,100	800	400	2,600	1,000	2,300	500	23.8%
Juan de Fuca EA	4,400	1,900	800	6,200	2,700	1,100	1,800	40.9%
Langford	29,900	11,600	12,200	48,000	19,200	22,700	18,100	60.5%
Metchosin	4,900	1,800	1,400	5,200	2,200	6,500	300	6.1%
Sooke	11,700	4,500	2,700	24,700	9,300	3,300	13,000	111.1%
Total	69,600	26,700	21,500	117,800	46,600	42,700	48,200	69.3%
Totals	346,900	154,200	183,700	441,800	204,900	232,500	94,900	27.4%

Source: Urban Futures, 2014

Please note that First Nations populations are not included in Table 1, as First Nations Reserves are outside the GMPA.

Please note that projections were prepared using 2011 Census data. Implementation Measure I-6 identifies the need to update the projections using the most recent census data at the time of the first update to the 2018 Regional Growth Strategy.