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Committee of the Whole/Documents/Attachment 3: 2020 CRD Member Municipalities GHG Inventory Study
Appendix

Attachment 3: 2020 CRD Member Municipalities GHG Inventory Study

November 10, 2020Pages 150–18915 sections

Comprehensive regional study by Stantec providing 2007 base year and 2018 reporting year emissions data for CRD local governments.

9.2.3b Community Climate Action Plan Primer
Regional GHG reduction target: 61% by 2038View Royal 2018 emissions: 45,507 tCO2eView Royal 2018 population: 11,283

Capital Region District – Municipalities and Electoral Areas 2007 Base Year and 2018 Reporting Year Energy & GHG Emissions Inventory

Prepared for: Capital Regional District 625 Fisgard Street, PO Box 1000 Victoria, BC V8W 2S6

Prepared by: Stantec Consulting Ltd. 400-655 Tyee Road Victoria, BC, V9A 6X5

Date: June 24, 2020

Note: Pages 25-66 and 70-73 have been deleted

Page 150–189

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  • Summary - 4
  • 1 Introduction - 6
    • 1.1 GHG Emissions & Climate Change - 6
    • 1.2 GPC Protocol - 7
    • 1.3 Variance from Community Energy and Emissions Inventories (CEEI) - 7
    • 1.4 Purpose of Document - 8
  • 2 Inventory Scope - 9
    • 2.1 GPC BASIC+ Inventory Scope - 9
    • 2.2 GHG Emissions Boundary - 10
    • 2.3 Assumptions & Disclosures - 10
  • 3 Capital Regional District Energy & GHG Emissions - 13
    • 3.1 Base Year (2007) Energy & GHG Emissions - 13
    • 3.2 CRD GHG Reduction Target - 17
    • 3.3 Reporting Year (2018) Energy & GHG Emissions - 17
    • 3.4 Energy & GHG Emissions Trends - 21
  • 4 District of Central Saanich - 25
    • 4.1 2018 Profile - 25
    • 4.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 25
  • 5 City of Colwood - 28
    • 5.1 2018 Profile - 28
    • 5.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 28
  • 6 Township of Esquimalt - 31
    • 6.1 2018 Profile - 31
    • 6.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 31
  • 7 District of Highlands - 34
    • 7.1 2018 Profile - 34
    • 7.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 34
  • 8 Juan de Fuca Electoral Area - 37
    • 8.1 2018 Profile - 37
    • 8.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 37
  • 9 City of Langford - 40
    • 9.1 2018 Profile - 40
    • 9.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 40
  • 10 District of Metchosin - 43
    • 10.1 2018 Profile - 43
    • 10.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 43
  • 11 District of North Saanich - 46
    • 11.1 2018 Profile - 46
    • 11.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 46
  • 12 District of Oak Bay - 49
    • 12.1 2018 Profile - 49
    • 12.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 49
  • 13 The District of Saanich - 52
    • 13.1 2018 Profile - 52
    • 13.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 52
  • 14 Salt Spring Electoral Area - 55
    • 14.1 2018 Profile - 55
    • 14.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 55
  • 15 Town of Sidney - 58
    • 15.1 2018 Profile - 58
    • 15.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 58
  • 16 District of Sooke - 61
    • 16.1 2018 Profile - 61
    • 16.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 61
  • 17 City of Victoria - 64
    • 17.1 2018 Profile - 64
    • 17.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 64
  • 18 Town of View Royal - 67
    • 18.1 2018 Profile - 67
    • 18.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 67
  • 19 Southern Gulf Islands Electoral Area - 70
    • 19.1 2018 Profile - 70
    • 19.2 Energy & GHG Emissions - 70
  • Appendix A - 73
  • Appendix B - 80
Page 150–189

SUMMARY

Climate change has emerged as the next unprecedented social, economic, and environmental challenge facing society today. It poses a serious threat to quality of life, jobs, and physical and natural assets. Scientists believe that the human-production of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions since pre-industrial times have already surpassed the Earth’s “carrying capacity” of natural systems and pose significant future risks to human well-being.

Recognizing the role that Capital Regional District (CRD) plays in achieving a significant and immediate reduction in global GHG emissions, the CRD set a regional GHG reduction target of 61% (from 2007 levels) by 2038. In February 2019, the CRD declared a climate emergency and committed to regional carbon neutrality. Local governments across the region have also set similar ambitious GHG reduction targets and commitments.

To meet these climate commitments, the CRD seeks a better understanding of the energy and GHG emissions at the regional level, as well as at the local government level which includes 13 municipalities and 3 electoral areas. The following document presents a summary of energy and GHG emissions at both the CRD and local government level for the 2007 and 2018 reporting years. This document compliments a 2018 inventory report which describes the methodologies and data sources applied to derive the estimate of GHG emissions for the CRD and local governments. A summary of the 2007 and 2018 energy and GHG emissions by local government is presented in Table 1 and Table 2.

Table 1. Summary of GHG Emissions By CRD Local Government

Local Government 2007 GHG Emissions (tCO2e) 2018 GHG Emissions (tCO2e) Change (%)
District of Central Saanich 80,648 73,995 -8.2%
City of Colwood 80,838 78,506 -2.9%
Township of Esquimalt 95,893 85,786 -10.5%
District of Highlands 7,776 9,373 20.5%
Juan de Fuca Electoral Area* 67,459 73,063 8.3%
City of Langford 133,247 169,775 27.4%
District of Metchosin 16,333 9,038 -44.7%
District of North Saanich 54,454 45,201 -17.0%
District of Oak Bay 89,140 77,178 -13.4%
District of Saanich 574,835 496,408 -13.6%
Salt Spring Island Electoral Area* 45,361 43,963 -3.1%
Town of Sidney 62,025 56,194 -9.4%
District of Sooke 46,616 46,574 -0.1%
City of Victoria 481,559 452,567 -6.0%
Town of View Royal 48,163 45,507 -5.5%
Southern Gulf Islands Electoral Area* 28,947 29,220 0.9%

* Land-use GHG emission estimates have been withheld due to limited land-use data.

Table 2. Summary of Energy Use By CRD Local Government

Local Government 2007 Energy (GJ) 2018 Energy (GJ) Change (%)
District of Central Saanich 1,865,308 1,941,408 4.1%
City of Colwood 1,527,213 1,573,838 3.1%
Township of Esquimalt 1,781,058 1,668,623 -6.3%
District of Highlands 220,027 274,687 24.8%
Juan de Fuca Electoral Area 1,992,655 1,912,583 -4.0%
City of Langford 2,590,548 3,491,537 34.8%
District of Metchosin 514,949 506,440 -1.7%
District of North Saanich 1,318,084 1,325,251 0.5%
District of Oak Bay 1,654,197 1,547,417 -6.5%
District of Saanich 11,004,052 10,308,380 -6.3%
Salt Spring Island Electoral Area 608,477 633,681 4.1%
Town of Sidney 1,229,020 1,188,309 -3.3%
District of Sooke 963,383 1,140,991 18.4%
City of Victoria 9,830,828 9,436,659 -4.0%
Town of View Royal 959,422 998,682 4.1%
Southern Gulf Islands Electoral Area 503,849 535,368 6.3%
Page 150–189

1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 GHG Emissions & Climate Change

There is overwhelming evidence that global climate change resulting from emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases (GHGs) is having a significant impact on the ecology of the planet. In addition, climate change is expected to have serious negative impacts on global economic growth and development. In 2005, the UK government commissioned an independent economic review called the Stern Review, which states that the “costs of stabilizing the climate are significant but manageable; delay would be dangerous and much more costly”.

Beyond the costs associated with delayed action, there are cost savings to be realized through efforts to conserve energy and to use it more efficiently, and economic opportunities available to communities that develop local energy supply and infrastructure. Actions to encourage energy efficiency and conservation and to promote implementation of renewable energy will assist local governments in developing energy resilient communities, in addition to mitigating climate change. Local governments are at the forefront of global action on climate change, setting both ambitious commitments and targets while going about the difficult task of reducing emissions. Per the latest report from the C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group, ICLEI Local Governments for Sustainability, UN Habitat, and others, most GHG reduction commitments are set for 2020 or 2050 and range from a 10% to 100% reduction (Figure 1).

Summary of Long-Term Global GHG Emission Reduction Targets
Summary of Long-Term Global GHG Emission Reduction Targets

Figure 1. Summary of Long-Term Global GHG Emission Reduction Targets

1.2 GPC Protocol

To make informed decisions on reducing energy use and GHG emissions at the regional and local government scale, community managers must have a good understanding of these sources, the activities that drive them, and their relative contribution to the total. This requires the completion of an energy and GHG emissions inventory. To allow for credible and meaningful reporting locally and internationally, the Global Protocol for Community-Scale Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventories (the GPC Protocol) was developed as a partnership between ICLEI-Local Governments for Sustainability, The World Resources Institute (WRI) and C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group (C40), with additional collaboration by the World Bank, United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) and UN-Habitat. The GPC Protocol has now become recognized as the standardized way for local governments to collect and report their actions on climate change. Over 9,000 cities have committed to using the GPC Protocol.

The Protocol has two established levels of reporting: BASIC and BASIC+ which are defined as the following:

  • The BASIC level covers scope 1 and scope 2 emissions from stationary energy and in-boundary transportation, as well as scope 1 and scope 3 emissions from waste.
  • The BASIC+ level covers the same scopes as BASIC and includes more in-depth and data dependent methodologies. Specifically, it expands the reporting scope to include emissions from industrial process and product use (IPPU), agriculture, forestry and other land-use (AFOLU), and transboundary transportation.

1.3 Variance from Community Energy and Emissions Inventories (CEEI)

The CRD has historically relied on the Provincial 2007, 2010 and 2012 Community Energy and Emissions Inventories (CEEI) to baseline and track community GHG emissions. However, there have been some limitations to the CEEI in that it is an in-boundary inventory, the most recent version published is for 2012, and the CEEI Protocol does not fully meet the requirements of the GPC Protocol BASIC or BASIC+ reporting requirements which is the required reporting standard for local governments that have committed to the Global Covenant of Mayors—an agreement led by city networks to undertake a transparent and supportive approach to measure GHG emissions community-wide. A high-level summary of the differences between the CEEI and GPC Protocol inventories are presented in Table 3.

Table 3. Summary of GHG Inventory Scope Differences

Reporting Sector CEEI GPC BASIC GPC BASIC+
Residential Buildings
Commercial And Institutional Buildings And Facilities
Manufacturing Industries And Construction
Energy Industries
Energy Generation Supplied To The Grid
Agriculture, Forestry And Fishing Activities
Non-Specified Sources
Fugitive Emissions From Mining, Processing, Storage, And Transportation Of Coal
Fugitive Emissions From Oil And Natural Gas Systems
On-Road Transportation
Railways
Waterborne Navigation
Aviation
Off-Road Transportation
Solid Waste
Biological Waste
Incinerated And Burned Waste
Wastewater
Emissions From Industrial Processes
Emissions From Product Use
Emissions From Livestock
Emissions From Land
Emissions From Aggregate Sources And Non-CO2 Emission Sources On Land

1.4 Purpose of Document

The purpose of this document is to provide the 2007 and 2018 GPC BASIC+ energy and GHG emissions inventories at the regional and local government level. This document compliments a 2018 inventory report which describes the methodologies and data sources applied to derive the estimate of GHG emissions for the CRD region and local governments.

Page 150–189

2 INVENTORY SCOPE

2.1 GPC BASIC+ Inventory Scope

In accordance with the GPC Protocol, the 2007 and 2018 BASIC+ GHG inventories presented herein accounts for GHG emissions from the following Reporting Sectors:

  • Stationary Energy – These are GHG emissions from fuel combustion, fugitive emissions, and some off-road transportation sources (e.g. construction equipment, residential mowers, etc.). They include the emissions from energy to heat and cool residential, commercial, institutional, and light/heavy industrial buildings, as well as the activities that occur within these residences and facilities.
  • Transportation – These are GHG emissions from the combustion of fuels as a result of vehicular on-road, off-road, including marine, aviation, and other off-road, and trans-boundary journeys.
  • Waste – These are GHG emissions from the disposal and management of solid waste, the biological treatment of waste, and wastewater treatment and discharge. Waste does not directly consume energy, but releases GHG emissions because of decomposition, burning, and other management methods.
  • Industrial Process and Product Use (IPPU) – These are GHG emissions from products such as refrigerants, foams or aerosol cans can release potent GHG emissions, known as product use GHG emissions. There are no known industrial process emissions in the CRD.
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land-Use (AFOLU) – These are GHG emissions that are captured or released as a result of land-management activities. These activities can range from the preservation of forested lands to the development of crop land. This Sector includes GHG emissions from land-use change, manure management, livestock, and the direct and indirect release of nitrous oxides (N2O) from soil management, urea application, fertilizer and manure application.

2.2 GHG Emissions Boundary

The GHG inventories are defined geographically by the CRD, which includes 13 municipalities and 3 electoral areas, as shown in Figure 2.

Map of CRD GHG Boundary
Map of CRD GHG Boundary

Figure 2. CRD GHG Boundary

2.3 Assumptions & Disclosures

The following inventories covers all GHG emissions for the 2007 and 2018 reporting years. Where data was not available, the most recent year’s data have been used, and the timescale noted accordingly. These disclosures are as follows:

Page 150–189
  • Global Warming Potentials (GWP). The BC government is currently applying GWPs from the fourth IPCC report in light of the fact that there are updated GWPs in available in the fifth IPCC report. On this basis, the following GHG emissions inventories apply GWPs from the fourth IPCC report.
  • Stationary Energy: Propane, Wood and Fuel Oil – Residential Buildings. Propane, and wood GHG emissions were estimated using linear regression methods. The data used in the estimates included historical propane and wood energy data published in the 2007, 2010 and 2012 CEEIs, and heating degree days (HDD) published by Environment Canada. This approach was also applied to the estimate of heating oil for all local governments, except the City of Victoria and District of Saanich. For the District of Saanich and the City of Victoria, heating oil GHG emissions were estimated based on the number of known tanks, average heated floor areas and estimated average fuel volumes.
  • Stationary Energy: Electricity and Natural Gas Consumption - All Buildings. Prior to releasing the electricity and natural gas consumption data, the Province completes a series of quality assurance and control checks which has resulted in the re-allocation of energy between local governments. This data is then published on the Province’s website. When the published 2007-2018 natural gas data was trended, several unexplained data anomalies and trends were identified for several local governments in the CRD. As these data anomalies and trends could not readily be explained, the raw natural gas data sets were acquired from FortisBC, reviewed and compared to the published data. In the 2007 and 2010 reporting years, the published data was under reporting natural gas volumes by upwards of 17% at the CRD level and had several large allocations between the City of Victoria and other local governments in 2012. Based on the issues with the published data, and on the basis the annual raw natural gas consumption trends align with the reported 2018 consumption data and align with historical raw data provided to the City of Victoria and the District of Saanich for their energy and GHG emissions inventories, the raw FortisBC dataset was used to estimate GHG emissions. A similar issue was noted for the Juan de Fuca electoral area and electricity data for the 2007, 2010 and 2012 reporting years (i.e., the under reporting of energy consumption) in the published data. As such, the raw electricity data from BC Hydro was used to estimate GHG emissions.
  • Stationary Energy: Fugitives. FortisBC provided total fugitive emissions for the 2018 reporting year at the regional level. To estimate local government fugitive emissions, the value was prorated based on the number of reported natural gas connections (provided by Fortis BC). Since no historical numbers were provided, the 2018 value was applied to the 2007 base year as well. The estimate of fugitive emissions is an understatement of GHG emissions as FortisBC did not estimate the upstream GHG emissions as recommended by the GPC Protocol.
  • Transportation: On-Road. The Province of BC provided Insurance Corporation of BC (ICBC) vehicle registration data from April 1, 2018 – March 31, 2019. When compared to local government population trends, there appears to be a high degree of uncertainty as to the accuracy of the 2018 vehicle registration data in terms of total registered vehicles. Without having reliable historical (e.g. 2011-2017) and current (2019) data to compare this dataset against, the reasonableness of the data was too uncertain to be applied in the estimation of GHG emissions for the 2018 reporting year. Therefore, to estimate on-road energy and GHG emissions for the 2018 reporting year, 2010 vehicle populations were grown in proportion to the reported changes in local government populations. Each of the local government vehicle profiles were then adjusted to match the proportion of vehicle classes reported in the 2018 ICBC data.
  • Transportation: On-Road. In cases where vehicle registration counts were 10 or less, the Province assigned a value of “<10” rather than report the actual number. In these cases, the inventory assumes there was 10 vehicles of that particular classification. This is likely to result in an over-estimation of GHG emissions, but it will be immaterial to the overall GHG inventory.
  • Transportation: On-Road. Vehicle fuel consumption rates and Vehicle Kilometer Travelled (VKT) were taken from the activity data summary for British Columbia on-road transportation from the 2018 National Inventory Report (1990-2018) as prepared by Environment Canada. Based on the clear diesel and clear gasoline consumption values reported by the Province of BC for the Victoria region, the VKT and fuel efficiency values are reasonable and result in a similar estimate of fuel consumption for the Region.
  • Transportation: Aviation. 2018 aviation GHG emissions were estimated using 2015 aircraft flight profiles (the last available data), and the total number of aircraft movements reported in 2018. The emissions were prorated to each local government on a per capita basis.
  • Transportation: Waterborne Recreational Watercraft. GHG emissions from recreational watercraft and US/Canada ferries were estimated based on a publicly available year 2000 study for the Victoria, Vancouver, and Washington harbors. These GHG emissions were prorated to each local government on a per capita basis.
  • Transportation: Cruise Ships. The Greater Victoria Harbour Authority reported on cruise ship emissions for the 2018 reporting year but did not provide an estimate for 2007. As a result, no cruise ship emissions are included in the 2007 base year inventory.
  • Waste: Solid Waste. To quantify GHG emissions from the Hartland Landfill, the CRD utilized the waste-in-place (WIP) method which is accepted under the GPC Protocol. The WIP assigns landfill emissions based on total waste deposited during that year. It counts GHGs emitted that year, regardless of when the waste was disposed. Except for the City of Victoria, who claims 31% of the CRD’s landfill GHG emission, the remaining landfill GHG emissions were allocated to each local government on a per capita basis. Using this allocation method, the CRD members may over, or underestimate associated solid waste GHG emissions as the current year landfill GHG emissions are based upon cumulative waste over time, and each member may have contributed more waste in past years than the current year (and vice versa).
  • AFOLU: Aggregate Sources And Non-CO2 Emission Sources On Land. These emissions are based on the 2019 NIR as prepared by ECCC and the total area of farmland BC in 2016 as reported by Statistics Canada. These GHG emissions were assigned to each local government on a per hectare (ha) of cropland basis.
  • AFOLU: Land-Use. The land cover change analysis requires a consistent land-use category attribution and spatial resolution for the 2007 base and 2018 reporting years. For the land use change analysis, land cover data was available for the 2007, 2011 and 2017 years for only part of the CRD. Unfortunately, no more recent or higher quality data source was available to represent the land cover consistently for all three years. Furthermore, since annual data was not available, the change between land cover data years (2007-2011, 2011-2017) was averaged and may not represent actual changes in each year.
  • AFOLU: Land-Use. There was limited land-use datasets for the Juan de Fuca, Salt Spring Island and Gulf Island Electoral Areas and this data was only available for 2007 and 2011. On this basis, land-use GHG emissions estimates for these electoral areas has been withheld.
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Details surrounding all GHG emissions sources quantification methods, assumptions, and assessment of uncertainties are contained in a complimentary GHG emissions methodology document and are not be presented herein.

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3 CAPITAL REGIONAL DISTRICT ENERGY & GHG EMISSIONS

3.1 Base Year (2007) Energy & GHG Emissions

In 2007, the CRD’s GHG BASIC+ emissions totaled 1,715,814 tCO2e. Excluding land use GHG emissions, buildings are the CRD’s second largest GHG emissions source at 33%, with 42% of those GHG emissions coming from natural gas for heating and cooling, 22% from heating oil for heating, 12% from electricity use, 8% from wood and propane use for heating and the remainder from other-related off-road activities like residential lawn mowing. On-road transportation GHG emission sources contributed 46% to the GHG inventory, almost all of which came from passenger vehicles, light trucks, and SUVs (85%). Off-road transportation, which includes marine, aviation, and other off-road emission sources contributed 7% to the overall GHG inventory. Solid waste, organic waste treatment methods, and wastewater treatment and discharge accounted for 7% of the total community GHG emissions. IPPU emissions accounted for 4% of total GHG emissions while AFOLU GHG emissions resulted in a reduction of 13% of community GHG emissions through the sequestration and storage of carbon.

A summary of the GHG emissions by sector and energy use by source is presented in the following table and figures.

Table 4. Base Year (2007) CRD Regional GHG Energy & GHG Emissions by Source

Source Type Consumption Units Energy (GJ) GHG Emissions (tCO2e)
Stationary Energy
Residential Buildings Electricity 2,107,163 MWh 7,585,725 52,679
Natural Gas 2,639,980 GJ 2,639,980 131,649
Fuel Oil 83,335 L 2,147,821 146,859
Propane 10,747 L 424,600 25,882
Wood 1,144,369 GJ 1,144,369 26,872
Diesel 6,507,150 L 251,697 19,468
Commercial & Industrial Buildings Electricity 1,365,217 MWh 4,914,742 34,130
Natural Gas 3,352,456 GJ 3,352,456 167,179
Fuel Oil 6,272 L 161,638 11,052
Diesel 11,734,206 L 453,879 35,106
Energy Industries LFG Combustion 418
Agriculture, Forestry And Fishing Activities Diesel 20,743,755 L 802,368 62,060
Natural Gas Fugitive Emissions 993
Total Stationary Energy 23,879,274 714,348
On-Road Transportation
Electric Vehicles Electricity 6,622 MWh 23,840 0
Passenger Vehicles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 163,062,222 L 5,673,042 403,626
Light Trucks, Vans, SUVs Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 151,774,389 L 5,237,495 370,284
Heavy Duty Vehicles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 53,493,257 L 2,012,033 140,949
Motorcycles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 1,208,124 L 41,874 2,885
Total On-Road Transportation 12,964,443 917,744
Off-Road Transportation
Marine, Aviation and Other Off-Road Vehicles Marine Gasoline + Marine Diesel + Jet Fuel 45,492,152 L 1,719,352 130,172
Total Off-Road Transportation 1,719,352 130,172
Waste
Wastewater 18,998
Composting 72
Solid Waste 111,234
Total Waste 130,304
Agriculture Forestry & Other Land Use (AFOLU)
Land-Use -259,033
Livestock, Aggregate Sources and Non-CO2 Emission Sources on Land 4,930
Total AFOLU -254,103
Industrial Process & Product Use (IPPU)
Process Use Emissions 77,348
Total IPPU 77,348
TOTAL 38,563,069 1,715,814
TOTAL Per Capita 109.7 4.9

Energy consumption and GHG emissions by source are shown in Figure 3, Figure 4 and Figure 5. On-road and transboundary transportation (82%) account for most of the energy consumption in the region.

[Chart: Figure 3. 2007 Regional Energy Consumption By Sector - On-Road Transportation 81.7%, Waterbourne Navigation and Aviation 8.7%, Other Stationary Energy 5.1%, Commerial and Instituional Buildings 2.9%, Residential Buildings 1.7%]

Figure 3. 2007 Regional Energy Consumption By Sector

[Chart: Figure 4. 2007 Regional GHG Emissions By Sector (Excluding Land Use) - On-Road Transportation 46.5%, Residential Buildings 20.4%, Commerial and Instituional Buildings 12.5%, Waste 6.6%, IPPU 3.9%, Waterbourn Navigation and Aviation 3.7%, Other Stationary Energy 3.2%, Other Off-Road Transport 2.9%, Livestock and Aggregate Sources 0.2%]

Figure 4. 2007 Regional GHG Emissions By Sector (Excluding Land Use)

[Chart: Figure 5. 2007 Regional GHG Emissions By Sector (Including Land Use) - On-Road Transportation 41.1%, Residential Buildings 18.1%, Commerial and Instituional Buildings 11.1%, Land-Use -11.6%, Waste 5.8%, IPPU 3.5%, Waterbourn Navigation and Aviation 3.3%, Other Stationary Energy 2.8%, Other Off-Road Transport 2.5%, Livestock and Aggregate Sources 0.2%]

Figure 5. 2007 Regional GHG Emissions By Sector (Including Land Use)

GHG emissions by fuel type is presented in Figure 6.

[Chart: Figure 6. 2007 Regional GHG Emissions By Fuel Type - Gasoline 42.0%, Diesel 21.9%, Natural Gas 17.0%, Heating Oil 9.0%, Electricity 4.9%, Propane 2.3%, Wood 1.5%, Jet Fuel 1.5%]

Figure 6. 2007 Regional GHG Emissions By Fuel Type

3.2 CRD GHG Reduction Target

Recognizing the role that the CRD plays in achieving a significant and immediate reduction in global GHG emissions, the CRD has set a regional GHG reduction target of 61% (from 2007 levels) by 2038. With the CRD’s 2007 base year GHG emissions being 1,715,814 tCO2e, a 39% reduction would require a reduction of approximately 669,168 tCO2e. On a per capita basis, this amounts to reducing emissions from approximately 4.2 tCO2e per person in 2018 to 2.6 tCO2e per person by 2038.

In February 2019, the CRD declared a climate emergency and committed to regional carbon neutrality.

3.3 Reporting Year (2018) Energy & GHG Emissions

In 2018, the CRD’s BASIC+ GHG emissions totaled 1,696,703 tCO2e. While this is a small decline of 1.1% from the 2007 base year GHG emissions, on an absolute basis, it is a decline of 14% on a per capita basis. Between 2007 and 2018, the CRD’s population has grown 15% and thus this decline speaks to the efforts by the CRD and CRD local governments to reduce energy consumption and GHG emissions.

Similar to the 2007 base year, buildings are the second largest GHG emissions source at 32%, with 48% of those GHG emissions coming from natural gas for heating and cooling, 23% from heating oil for heating, 5% from electricity use, 8% from wood and propane use for heating and the remainder from other-related off-road activities like residential lawn mowing. On-road transportation GHG emission sources contributed 46%, almost all of which came from passenger vehicles, light trucks, and SUVs (86%). Off-road transportation, which includes marine, aviation, and other off-road emission sources contributed 7% to the overall GHG inventory. Solid waste, organic waste treatment methods, and wastewater treatment and discharge accounted for 5% of the total community GHG emissions. IPPU emissions accounted for 7% of total GHG emissions while AFOLU GHG emissions resulted in a reduction of 11% of community GHG emissions through the sequestration and storage of carbon.

A summary of the 2018 GHG emissions by sector and energy use by source is presented in the following table and figures.

Table 5. Reporting Year (2018) CRD Regional GHG Energy & GHG Emissions by Sector

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Source Type Consumption Units Energy (GJ) GHG Emissions (tCO2e)
Stationary Energy
Residential Buildings Electricity 1,920,909 MWh 6,915,217 20,496
Natural Gas 2,218,511 GJ 2,218,511 110,632
Fuel Oil 80,580 L 2,076,809 142,004
Propane 10,169 L 401,770 24,569
Wood 1,100,555 GJ 1,100,555 25,843
Diesel 5,434,847 L 210,220 15,252
Commercial & Industrial Buildings Electricity 1,290,843 MWh 4,646,998 13,773
Natural Gas 4,192,845 GJ 4,192,845 209,087
Fuel Oil 5,549 L 143,003 9,778
Diesel 11,683,072 L 451,901 32,786
Energy Industries LFG Combustion 7,658
Agriculture, Forestry And Fishing Activities Diesel 19,879,416 L 768,936 55,787
Natural Gas Fugitive Emissions 1,510
Total Stationary Energy 23,126,766 669,175
On-Road Transportation
Electric Vehicles Electricity 6,622 MWh 24 80
Passenger Vehicles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 146,887,432 L 5,104,833 328,408
Light Trucks, Vans, SUVs Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 190,281,535 L 6,653,532 426,624
Heavy Duty Vehicles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 49,689,669 L 1,863,143 121,922
Motorcycles Gasoline 885,376 L 30,687 2,114
Total On-Road Transportation 13,652,220 879,148
Off-Road Transportation
Marine, Aviation and Other Off-Road Vehicles Marine Gasoline + Marine Diesel + Jet Fuel 44,843,853 L 1,704,868 126,061
Total Off-Road Transportation 1,704,868 126,061
Waste
Wastewater 19,859
Composting 5,307
Solid Waste 71,219
Total Waste 96,386
Agriculture Forestry & Other Land Use (AFOLU)
Land-Use -209,262
Livestock, Aggregate Sources and Non-CO2 Emission Sources on Land 4,930
Total AFOLU -203,952
Industrial Process & Product Use (IPPU)
Process Use Emissions 129,884
Total IPPU 129,884
TOTAL 38,483,853 1,696,703
TOTAL Per Capita 94.8 4.2

Energy consumption and GHG emissions by source are shown in Figure 7, Figure 8 and Figure 9. On-road and transboundary transportation (82%) account for most of the energy consumption in the region.

[Chart: Figure 7. 2018 Regional Energy Consumption By Sector - On-Road Transportation 82.5%, Waterbourn Navigation and Aviation 8.7%, Other Stationary Energy 4.6%, Commerial and Instituional Buildings 2.8%, Residential Buildings 1.3%]

Figure 7. 2018 Regional Energy Consumption By Sector

[Chart: Figure 8. 2018 Regional GHG Emissions By Sector (Excluding Land Use) - On-Road Transportation 46.1%, Residential Buildings 17.8%, Commerial and Instituional Buildings 13.9%, IPPU 6.8%, Waste 5.1%, Waterbourn Navigation and Aviation 3.7%, Other Stationary Energy 3.4%, Other Off-Road Transport 2.9%, Livestock and Aggregate Sources 0.3%]

Figure 8. 2018 Regional GHG Emissions By Sector (Excluding Land Use)

[Chart: Figure 9. 2018 Regional GHG Emissions By Sector (Including Land Use) - On-Road Transportation 41.6%, Residential Buildings 16.0%, Commerial and Instituional Buildings 12.5%, Land-Use -9.9%, IPPU 6.1%, Waste 4.6%, Waterbourn Navigation and Aviation 3.3%, Other Stationary Energy 3.1%, Other Off-Road Transport 2.6%, Livestock and Aggregate Sources 0.3%]

Figure 9. 2018 Regional GHG Emissions By Sector (Including Land Use)

GHG emissions by fuel type is presented in Figure 10.

[Chart: Figure 10. 2018 Regional GHG Emissions By Fuel Type - Gasoline 44.3%, Diesel 20.8%, Natural Gas 19.6%, Heating Oil 9.1%, Electricity 2.1%, Wood 1.5%, Propane 1.5%, Jet Fuel 1.2%]

Figure 10. 2018 Regional GHG Emissions By Fuel Type

3.4 Energy & GHG Emissions Trends

Table 6 presents the changes between the 2007 and 2018 reporting years, showing that emissions decreased in most reporting sectors. There was an increase in commercial buildings natural gas consumption and building related natural gas fugitive emissions which is expected as the CRD population has grown. There was also an increase in process use emissions (67%) which is also driven by population. Lastly, there was an increase in composting emissions which is the direct result of waste diversion programs which result in some direct GHG emissions, but overall have a net reduction impact as the process avoids releasing more fugitive emissions from the landfill. Total waste emissions declined 26% from the base year as a result.

GHG emissions resulting from residential buildings have declined by 16% as a result of improved efficiency of appliances and lighting, energy efficiency upgrades, and a transition from heating oil to natural gas or electric heating. In contrast, GHG emissions from commercial and institutional buildings has increased 7% since the base year which is likely to the expanding population and the increased construction of multi-unit residential buildings in the region (which are classified by the utilities as commercial buildings). Overall, stationary energy emissions, which includes buildings, fugitives, and other off-road emission sources have declined by 6% since the base year.

On-road transportation GHG emissions have decreased 4% in light of a 15% increase in the number of registered vehicles and a trend away from light duty vehicles, like sedans, towards SUVs and light duty trucks which have lower fuel efficiencies. This increase has been mitigated by shifting preferences towards electric vehicles, Provincial renewable fuel requirements and people simply driving less. Overall, transportation GHG emissions have declined 4% since the base year.

Land-use GHG emissions increased 20% as a result of more infill and less greenspace development.

Table 6. Change in CRD GHG Energy & GHG Emissions

Page 150–189
Source Type 2007 Energy (GJ) 2018 Energy (GJ) Change (%) 2007 GHG Emissions (tCO2e) 2018 GHG Emissions (tCO2e) Change (%)
Stationary Energy
Residential Buildings Electricity 7,585,725 6,915,217 -8.8% 52,679 20,496 -61.1%
Natural Gas 2,639,980 2,218,511 -16.0% 131,649 110,632 -16.0%
Fuel Oil 2,147,821 2,076,809 -3.3% 146,859 142,004 -3.3%
Propane 424,600 401,770 -5.4% 25,882 24,569 -5.1%
Wood 1,144,369 1,100,555 -3.8% 26,872 25,843 -3.8%
Diesel 251,697 210,220 -16.5% 19,468 15,252 -21.7%
Commercial & Industrial Buildings Electricity 4,914,742 4,646,998 -5.4% 34,130 13,773 -59.6%
Natural Gas 3,352,456 4,192,845 25.1% 167,179 209,087 25.1%
Fuel Oil 161,638 143,003 -11.5% 11,052 9,778 -11.5%
Diesel 453,879 451,901 -0.4% 35,106 32,786 -6.6%
Energy Industries LFG Combustion - - 418 7,658 1731.0%
Agriculture, Forestry And Fishing Activities Diesel 802,368 768,936 -4.2% 62,060 55,787 -10.1%
Natural Gas Fugitive Emissions - - 993 1,510 52.0%
Total Stationary Energy 23,879,274 23,126,766 -3.2% 714,348 669,175 -6.3%
On-Road Transportation
Electric Vehicles Electricity - 24 - - 80 -
Passenger Vehicles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 5,673,042 5,104,833 -10.0% 403,626 328,408 -18.6%
Light Trucks, Vans, SUVs Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 5,237,495 6,653,532 27.0% 370,284 426,624 15.2%
Heavy Duty Vehicles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 2,012,033 1,863,143 -7.4% 140,949 121,922 -13.5%
Motorcycles Gasoline 41,874 30,687 -26.7% 2,885 2,114 -26.7%
Total On-Road Transportation 12,964,443 13,652,220 5.3% 917,744 879,148 -4.2%
Off-Road Transportation
Marine, Aviation and Other Off-Road Vehicles Marine Gasoline + Marine Diesel + Jet Fuel 1,719,352 1,704,868 -0.8% 130,172 126,061 -3.2%
Total Off-Road Transportation 1,719,352 1,704,868 -0.8% 130,172 126,061 -3.2%
Waste
Wastewater 18,998 19,859 4.5%
Composting 72 5,307 7235.5%
Solid Waste 111,234 71,219 -36.0%
Total Waste 130,304 96,386 -26.0%
Agriculture Forestry & Other Land Use (AFOLU)
Land-Use -259,033 -209,262 -19.2%
Livestock, Aggregate Sources and Non-CO2 Emission Sources on Land 4,930 5,310
Total AFOLU -254,103 -203,952 -19.7%
Industrial Process & Product Use (IPPU)
Process Use Emissions 77,348 129,884 67.9%
Total IPPU 77,348 129,884 67.9%
TOTAL 38,563,069 38,483,853 -0.2% 1,715,814 1,696,703 -1.1%

Table 7 presents the changes between the 2007 and 2018 years for each CRD local government.

Table 7. Change in Member GHG Energy & GHG Emissions

Member 2007 Energy (GJ) 2018 Energy (GJ) Change (%) 2007 GHG Emissions (tCO2e) 2018 GHG Emissions (tCO2e) Change (%)
District of Central Saanich 1,865,308 1,941,408 4.1% 80,648 73,995 -8.2%
City of Colwood 1,527,213 1,573,838 3.1% 80,838 78,506 -2.9%
Township of Esquimalt 1,781,058 1,668,623 -6.3% 95,893 85,786 -10.5%
District of Highlands 220,027 274,687 24.8% 7,776 9,373 20.5%
Juan de Fuca Electoral Area* 1,992,655 1,912,583 -4.0% 67,459 73,063 8.3%
City of Langford 2,590,548 3,491,537 34.8% 133,247 169,775 27.4%
District of Metchosin 514,949 506,440 -1.7% 16,333 9,038 -44.7%
District of North Saanich 1,318,084 1,325,251 0.5% 54,454 45,201 -17.0%
District of Oak Bay 1,654,197 1,547,417 -6.5% 89,140 77,178 -13.4%
District of Saanich 11,004,052 10,308,380 -6.3% 574,835 496,408 -13.6%
Salt Spring Island Electoral Area* 608,477 633,681 4.1% 45,361 43,963 -3.1%
Town of Sidney 1,229,020 1,188,309 -3.3% 62,025 56,194 -9.4%
District of Sooke 963,383 1,140,991 18.4% 46,616 46,574 -0.1%
City of Victoria 9,830,828 9,436,659 -4.0% 481,559 452,567 -6.0%
Town of View Royal 959,422 998,682 4.1% 48,163 45,507 -5.5%
Southern Gulf Islands Electoral Area* 503,849 535,368 6.3% 28,947 29,220 0.9%

* Land-use GHG emission estimates have been withheld due to limited land-use data.

Page 150–189

18 TOWN OF VIEW ROYAL

18.1 2018 Profile

Profile Component Value
Population 11,283
Dwellings 4,637
Registered Vehicles 7,268
Energy (Thousands of GJ) 999
GHG Emissions (tCO2e) 45,507

18.2 Energy & GHG Emissions

Table 22 presents a summary comparison of the Town of View Royal’s 2007 and 2018 energy and GHG emissions.

Table 22. Estimated Energy and GHG Emissions By Reporting Source

Source Type 2007 Energy (GJ) 2018 Energy (GJ) Change (%) 2007 GHG Emissions (tCO2e) 2018 GHG Emissions (tCO2e) Change (%)
Stationary Energy
Residential Buildings Electricity 185,764 179,782 -3.2% 1,290 533 -58.7%
Natural Gas 75,155 76,534 1.8% 3,748 3,817 1.8%
Fuel Oil 22,724 27,689 21.8% 1,554 1,893 21.8%
Propane 3,926 3,706 -5.6% 239 227 -5.3%
Wood 8,710 8,314 -4.6% 205 195 -4.6%
Diesel 6,462 5,842 -9.6% 500 424 -15.2%
Commercial & Industrial Buildings Electricity 113,772 129,927 14.2% 790 385 -51.3%
Natural Gas 123,868 146,990 18.7% 6,177 7,330 18.7%
Fuel Oil 0 0 - 0 0 -
Diesel 11,652 12,559 7.8% 901 911 1.1%
Energy Industries LFG Combustion - 0 - 0 0 -
Agriculture, Forestry And Fishing Activities Diesel 30,825 31,438 2.0% 2,384 2,281 -4.3%
Natural Gas Fugitive Emissions - - 38 60 58.1%
Total Stationary Energy 582,858 622,780 6.8% 17,826 18,055 1.3%
On-Road Transportation
Electric Vehicles Electricity - 1 - - 2 -
Passenger Vehicles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 138,335 138,673 0.2% 9,846 8,929 -9.3%
Light Trucks, Vans, SUVs Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 141,783 182,230 28.5% 10,031 11,666 16.3%
Heavy Duty Vehicles Gasoline + Diesel + Propane 54,665 12,295 -77.5% 3,828 785 -79.5%
Motorcycles Gasoline 1,223 895 -26.8% 84 62 -26.8%
Total On-Road Transportation 336,005 334,094 -0.6% 23,789 21,443 -9.9%
Off-Road Transportation
Marine, Aviation and Other Off-Road Vehicles Marine Gasoline + Marine Diesel + Jet Fuel 40,558 41,809 3.1% 3,072 3,084 0.4%
Total Off-Road Transportation 40,558 41,809 3.1% 3,072 3,084 0.4%
Waste
Wastewater 386 475 23.1%
Composting 0 170 -
Solid Waste 2,856 1,770 -38.0%
Total Waste 3,242 2,416 -25.5%
Agriculture Forestry & Other Land Use (AFOLU)
Land-Use -1,753 -3,102 76.9%
Livestock, Aggregate Sources and Non-CO2 Emission Sources on Land 2 2 -11.0%
Total AFOLU -1,751 -3,100 77.0%
Industrial Process & Product Use (IPPU)
Process Use Emissions 1,986 3,610 81.8%
Total IPPU 1,986 3,610 81.8%
TOTAL 959,422 998,682 4.1% 48,163 45,507 -5.5%
Page 150–189

APPENDIX A

Comparison of the District of Saanich’s and the CRD’s GHG calculation of the 2007 and 2017/2018 GHG emissions is presented in Table A1 and Table A2 below. It should be noted that the District of Saanich has not prepared a 2018 GHG emissions inventory and as such, the reported 2017 GHG emissions inventory is used as a proxy for comparison.

Table A1. Comparision of 2007 GHG Emissions Inventories

Sector Sub-Sector 2007 SAANICH GHG (tCO2e) 2007 CRD GHG (tCO2e) Difference (tCO2e) Explanation for Difference
Stationary Energy Residential Buildings 93,458 106,201 12,743 ● Due to concerns around the published energy data (see Section 2.3), the raw energy values for electricity and natural gas were used in the CRD inventory. Results in a ~7,500 tCO2e increase.
● ECCC NIR updated 2007 (Original 33,000 tCO2e; Updated 183,000 tCO2e) numbers for other off-road residential emissions. This is a common occurrence for ECCC. They will typically update historical numbers based on new data and methodological changes. Results in an ~5,200 tCO2e increase.
Agriculture, Forestry, And Fishing Activities 13,550 29,343 15,793 ● ECCC NIR updated 2007 numbers for this source of GHG emissions (Original 500,000 tCO2e; Updated 873,000 tCO2e). Results in the increase in GHG emissions.
Commercial / Institutional Buildings 52,835 59,777 6,942 ● Due to concerns around the published energy data (see Section 2.3), the raw energy values for electricity and natural gas were used in the CRD inventory. Results in an ~1,000 tCO2e increase.
● ECCC NIR updated 2007 numbers for other off-road commercial and manufacturing emissions. (Original 210,000 tCO2e; Updated 330,000 tCO2e). Results in an ~6,000 tCO2e increase.
Energy Industries 418 418 ● 2007 flaring data was not available to Saanich at the time of reporting.
Fugitive Emissions: Oil and Natural Gas Systems 1,800 314 (1,486) ● For the CRD project, FORTISBC provided 2018 fugitive numbers for the CRD which did not include upstream GHG emissions. This value was then prorated to each CRD member based on the number of natural gas connections. The original value in the reported inventory was estimated by FORTISBC for the District and includes upstream emissions. To be consistent in terms of methodology across the CRD, the new value was applied.
Transportation On-Road Transportation 88,486 105,898 17,413 ● The CRD calculator uses the original 2007 and 2010 vehicle registration data, whereas the original inventory used the published 2012 data (which contained the 2007 and 2010 data which was modified based on changes to the 2012 methodology). During the preparation of the CRD calculator, it was brought to light there are concerns with the 2012 data which impacted the 2007 and 2010 values. As such, the original CEEI 2007 and 2010 data was used in the CRD calculator. The original inventory used the estimated Vehicle Kilometer Travelled (VKT) data and fuel efficiency factors that were used in the BC CEEIs which were derived from AirCare data. As the AirCare data program ended in 2014, the CRD inventory uses VKT data and fuel efficiency factors that are generated and used by Environment Canada (EC) in their calculation of Provincial and Federal GHG emissions. The fuel consumption values, on average, in the EC dataset are higher than those used in the CEEI estimates. Some of the original vehicle registrations were also reclassed to align with the EC dataset. Results in a ~46,000 tCO2e increase.
● BC Transit GHG emissions were allocated based on total service population, rather than the CRD population as was done in the original inventory. Results in an ~6,000 tCO2e decline.
Transboundary Transportation 151,977 176,450 24,473 ● See above note.
Off-Road Transportation: Aviation, Waterborne, and Other Off-Road 14,562 37,808 23,246 ● Land and marine based aviation GHG emissions were assigned on a per capita basis. There were some changes to the Provinces population counts between inventories resulting in a decline of aviation emissions by ~1,700 tCO2e
● In the original inventory, the BC Ferries GHG emissions was allocated based on a per capita basis based on total passengers. Since BC Ferries also serves the Vancouver coast population, the methodology was changed and the BC ferries value was prorated based on the Vancouver Island and Vancouver South Coast population in the CRD inventory. Results in an increase of ~10,000 tCO2e.
● ECCC NIR updated 2007 numbers for other off-road emissions. (Original 110,000 tCO2e; Updated 687,000 tCO2e). Results in an ~15,000 tCO2e increase.
Waste Waste: Solid Waste Disposal, Biological Treatment of Waste, Wastewater Treatment and Discharge 34,121 40,134 6,013 ● In the original inventory, wastewater volumes were allocated based on a 2015 study whereas the CRD values are based on Total annual volume of wastewater by municipality. Results in an ~500 tCO2e increase.
● The original inventory pro-rated Hartland Landfill GHG emissions based on total volume of waste (estimated by the District) sent to landfill. The CRD inventory assigns 31% of waste emissions to the City of Victoria (which was a lower claim than what was estimated in the original inventory) and assigns the rest of the landfill emissions on a per capita basis. Results in an increase of ~6,500 tCO2e.
AFOLU AFOLU: Livestock, Land, and Other Agriculture 20,071 (5,947) (26,018) ● For the CRD inventory, the BC MOE provided BC based land-use emissions factors and there was a change in the calculation methodologies based on land-use data at the CRD level. Results in a decrease of GHG emissions by ~15,000 tCO2e.
● The Saanich inventory was also using livestock GHG estimates from the Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) Holos GHG emissions model (V3.1) using 2016 Statistics Canada Agriculture Census Data which conservatively over estimated livestock emissions, but this approach was not used in the CRD estimates as the livestock census data is from 2006 and not complete for all CRD members. As such, in the CRD calculator all livestock and direct/indirect manure and soil GHG estimates are based on the ECCC NIR and prorated based on hectares of agricultural land. Results in a decline of GHG emissions by 11,000 tCO2e.
IPPU IPPU: Industrial Processes, and Product Use 24,524 24,438 (86) ● ECCC NIR updated 2007 numbers for IPPU GHG emissions. Results in a decline of ~100 tCO2e.
Total GHG Emissions 495,384 574,835 79,451

Table A2. Comparision of 2017 and 2018 GHG Emissions Inventories

Page 150–189
Sector Sub-Sector 2017 SAANICH GHG (tCO2e) 2018 CRD GHG (tCO2e) Difference (tCO2e) Explanation for Difference
Stationary Energy Residential Buildings 89,308 85,067 (4,241) ● The CRD inventory is using 2018 energy data whereas the Saancih calculator is based on 2017.
● To estimate wood and propane use, the linear regression equation was based on the CRD total consumption and HDD days (instead of the reporter’s consumption) which resulted in immaterial changes to the values.
● ECCC NIR updated 2018 (Original 140,000 tCO2e; Updated 147,000 tCO2e) numbers for other off-road residential emissions. The difference is also due to different reporting years being reported in this table (values are assigned on a per capita basis).
Agriculture, Forestry, And Fishing Activities 13,314 24,471 11,157 ● ECCC NIR updated 2018 numbers for this source of GHG emissions (Original 540,000 tCO2e; Updated 791,000 tCO2e). The difference is also due to different reporting years being reported in this table (values are assigned on a per capita basis).
Commercial / Institutional Buildings 56,819 55,514 (1,305) ● ECCC NIR updated 2018 numbers for other off-road commercial and manufacturing emissions. (Original 290,000 tCO2e; Updated 316,000 tCO2e). The difference is also due to different reporting years being reported in this table (values are assigned on a per capita basis).
Energy Industries 7,658 7,658 ● Flaring data was not available to Saanich at the time of reporting.
Fugitive Emissions: Oil and Natural Gas Systems 1,206 432 (774) ● For the CRD project, FORTISBC provided 2018 fugitive numbers for the CRD which did not include upstream GHG emissions. This value was then prorated to each CRD member based on the number of natural gas connections. The original value in the reported inventory was estimated by FORTISBC for the District and included upstream emissions. To be consistent in terms of methodology across the CRD, the new value was applied.
Transportation On-Road Transportation 102,580 98,176 (4,404) ● The CRD calculator uses the original 2007 and 2010 vehicle registration data, whereas the original inventory used the published 2012 data (which contained the 2007 and 2010 data which was modified based on changes to the 2012 methodology). During the preparation of the CRD calculator, it was brought to light there are concerns with the 2012 data which impacted the 2007 and 2010 values. As such, the original CEEI 2007 and 2010 data was used in the CRD calculator. In the original inventory, transportation GHG emissions were estimated based on population growth and the number of registered vehicles in 2012 whereas the CRD inventory uses 2010 vehicle registration data. The original inventory used the estimated Vehicle Kilometer Travelled (VKT) data and fuel efficiency factors that were used in the BC CEEIs which were derived from AirCare data. As the AirCare data program ended in 2014, the CRD inventory uses VKT data and fuel efficiency factors that are generated and used by Environment Canada (EC) in their calculation of Provincial and Federal GHG emissions. The fuel consumption and VKT values, on average, in the EC dataset are lower than those used in the GHG calculator. Results in a ~15,300 tCO2e decline in GHG emissions.
● BC Transit GHG emissions were allocated based on total service population, rather than the CRD population as was done in the original inventory. Results in an ~6,700 tCO2e decline.
Transboundary Transportation 169,961 152,356 (17,605) ● See above comment.
Off-Road Transportation: Aviation, Waterborne, and Other Off-Road 26,273 33,085 6,812 ● Airport GHG emissions were assigned on a per capita basis. There were some changes to the Provinces population counts between inventories resulting in a decline of aviation emissions by ~200 tCO2e
● In the original inventory, the BC Ferries GHG emissions was allocated based on a per capita basis based on total passengers. Since BC Ferries also serves the Vancouver coast population, the methodology was changed and the BC ferries value was prorated based on the Vancouver Island and Vancouver South Coast population in the CRD inventory. Results in an increase of ~8,000 tCO2e.
● ECCC NIR updated 2018 numbers for other off-road emissions. (Original 750,000 tCO2e; Updated 682,000 tCO2e). Results in an ~2,000 tCO2e decline. The difference is also due to different reporting years being reported in this table (values are assigned on a per capita basis).
Waste Waste: Solid Waste Disposal, Biological Treatment of Waste, Wastewater Treatment and Discharge 23,819 28,252 4,433 ● In the original inventory, wastewater volumes were allocated based on a 2015 study whereas the CRD values are based on Total annual volume of wastewater by municipality. Results in an ~100 tCO2e decline.
● The original inventory pro-rated Hartland Landfill GHG emissions based on total volume of waste (estimated by the District) sent to landfill. The CRD inventory assigns 31% of waste emissions to the City of Victoria (which was a lower claim than what was estimated in the original inventory) and assigns the rest of the landfill emissions on a per capita basis. Results in an increase of ~4,400 tCO2e.
AFOLU AFOLU: Livestock, Land, and Other Agriculture (10,257) (27,332) (17,075) ● For the CRD inventory, the BC MOE provided BC based land-use emissions factors and there was a change in the calculation methodologies based on land-use data at the CRD level. Results in a decrease of GHG emissions by ~7,000 tCO2e.
● The Saanich inventory was also using livestock GHG estimates from the Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) Holos GHG emissions model (V3.1) using 2016 Statistics Canada Agriculture Census Data which conservatively over estimated livestock emissions, but this approach was not used in the CRD estimates as the livestock census data is from 2006 and not complete for all CRD members. As such, in the CRD calculator all livestock and direct/indirect manure and soil GHG estimates are based on the ECCC NIR and prorated based on hectares of agricultural land. Results in a decline of GHG emissions by 10,000 tCO2e
IPPU IPPU: Industrial Processes, and Product Use 39,883 38,729 (1,155) ● IPPU is allocated on a per capita basis. The difference is due to different reporting years being reported in this table.
Total GHG Emissions 512,906 496,408 -16,498
Page 150–189

APPENDIX B

Comparison of the City of Victoria’s and the CRD’s GHG calculation of the 2007 and /2018 GHG emissions is presented in Table B1 and Table B2 below.

Table B1. Comparision of 2007 GHG Emissions Inventories

Sector Sub-Sector 2007 VICTORIA GHG (tCO2e) 2007 CRD GHG (tCO2e) Difference Explanation for Difference
Stationary Energy Residential Buildings 84,187 116,072 31,885 ● Due to concerns around the published energy data (see Section 2.3), the raw energy values for electricity and natural gas were used in the CRD inventory. Results in a ~28,000 tCO2e increase. This effect is nearly netted out with the decrease in commercial building natural gas consumption (see below).
● ECCC NIR updated 2007 (Original 33,000 tCO2e; Updated 183,000 tCO2e) numbers for other off-road residential emissions. This is a common occurrence for ECCC. They will typically update historical numbers based on new data and methodological changes. Results in a ~3,800 tCO2e increase.
Commercial / Institutional Buildings 120,528 98,912 -21,616 ● Due to concerns around the published energy data (see Section 2.3), the raw energy values for electricity and natural gas were used in the CRD inventory. Results in a ~25,000 tCO2e decline. This effect is nearly netted out with the increase in residential building natural gas consumption (see above).
● ECCC NIR updated 2007 numbers for other off-road commercial and manufacturing emissions. (Original 210,000 tCO2e; Updated 330,000 tCO2e). Results in an ~4,000 tCO2e increase.
Fugitive Emissions: Oil and Natural Gas Systems 1,370 231 -1,139 ● For the CRD project, FORTISBC provided 2018 fugitive numbers for the CRD which did not include upstream GHG emissions. This value was then prorated to each CRD member based on the number of natural gas connections. The original value in the reported inventory was estimated by FORTISBC for the City and includes upstream emissions. To be consistent in terms of methodology across the CRD, the new value was applied.
Transportation On-Road Transportation 40,274 50,420 10,146 ● The CRD calculator uses the original 2007 and 2010 vehicle registration data, whereas the original inventory used the published 2012 data (which contained the 2007 and 2010 data which was modified based on changes to the 2012 methodology). During the preparation of the CRD calculator, it was brought to light there are concerns with the 2012 data which impacted the 2007 and 2010 values. As such, the original CEEI 2007 and 2010 data was used in the CRD calculator. In the original inventory, transportation GHG emissions were estimated based on population growth and the number of registered vehicles in 2012. The original inventory used the estimated Vehicle Kilometer Travelled (VKT) data and fuel efficiency factors that were used in the BC CEEIs which were derived from AirCare data. As the AirCare data program ended in 2014, the CRD inventory uses VKT data and fuel efficiency factors that are generated and used by Environment Canada (EC) in their calculation of Provincial and Federal GHG emissions. The fuel consumption values, on average, in the EC dataset are higher than those used in the original inventory calculator. Results in a ~41,500 tCO2e increase in GHG emissions.
● BC Transit GHG emissions were allocated based on total service population, rather than the CRD population as was done in the original inventory. Results in an ~4,700 tCO2e decline.
Transboundary Transportation 100,290 126,935 26,645 ● See above note.
Off-Road Transportation: Aviation, Waterborne, and Other Off-Road 56,959 38,042 -18,917 ● Land and marine based aviation GHG emissions were assigned on a per capita basis. There were some changes to the Provinces population counts between inventories resulting in a decline of aviation emissions.
● There was also a methodology change in the assignment in marine aviation GHG emissions. The GPC Protocol provided updated guidance on the assignment of aviation emissions allowing these to be assigned as Scope 3 GHG emissions regardless of the location of the airport(s). On this basis, all marine aviation emissions were assigned on a per capita basis to all municipalities. This resulted in a decline of ~8,000 tCO2e.
● In the original inventory, the BC Ferries GHG emissions were allocated based on a per capita basis for Vancouver Island. Since BC Ferries also serves the Vancouver coast population, the methodology was changed and the BC ferries value was prorated based on the Vancouver Island and Vancouver South Coast population in the CRD inventory. Results in a decline of ~23,000 tCO2e
● The CRD inventory includes an estimate of ~7,000 tCO2e of cruise ship emissions not included in the original inventory.
● ECCC NIR updated 2007 numbers for other off-road emissions. (Original 110,000 tCO2e; Updated 687,000 tCO2e). Results in an ~10,000 tCO2e increase.
Waste Waste: Solid Waste Disposal, Biological Treatment of Waste, Wastewater Treatment and Discharge 58,072 33,367 -24,705 ● In the original inventory, wastewater volumes were allocated based on a 2015 study whereas the CRD values are based on Total annual volume of wastewater by municipality. Results in an ~600 tCO2e increase.
● The original inventory pro-rated Hartland Landfill GHG emissions based on total volume of waste (estimated by the City) sent to landfill. The CRD inventory assigns 31% of waste emissions to the City of Victoria. Results in a decrease of ~23,000 tCO2e.
● The CRD inventory does not include Tervia Landfill GHG emissions (2,800 tCO2e not accounted for).
AFOLU AFOLU: Livestock, Land, and Other Agriculture 822 -217 -1,039 ● For the CRD inventory, the BC MOE provided BC based land-use emissions factors and there was a change in the calculation methodologies based on land-use data at the CRD level. Results in a decrease of GHG emissions by ~1,000 tCO2e.
IPPU IPPU: Industrial Processes, and Product Use 17,859 17,798 -61 ● IPPU is allocated on a per capita basis. The difference is due to different reporting years being reported in this table.
Total GHG Emissions 480,361 481,559 1,198

Table B2. Comparision of 2018 GHG Emissions Inventories

Page 150–189
Sector Sub-Sector 2018 VICTORIA GHG (tCO2e) 2018 CRD GHG (tCO2e) Difference (tCO2e) Explanation for Difference
Stationary Energy Residential Buildings 66,576 70,618 4,042 ● ECCC NIR updated 2018 (Original 140,000 tCO2e; Updated 147,000 tCO2e) numbers for other off-road residential emissions. Results in the increase in GHG emissions.
Commercial / Institutional Buildings 118,206 120,491 2,285 ● ECCC NIR updated 2018 numbers for this source of GHG emissions (Original 540,000 tCO2e; Updated 791,000 tCO2e). Results in the increase in GHG emissions.
Fugitive Emissions: Oil and Natural Gas Systems 1,200 370 -830 ● For the CRD project, FORTISBC provided 2018 fugitive numbers for the CRD which did not include upstream GHG emissions. This value was then prorated to each CRD member based on the number of natural gas connections. The original value in the reported inventory was estimated by FORTISBC for the City and includes upstream emissions. To be consistent in terms of methodology across the CRD, the new value was applied.
Transportation On-Road Transportation 42,580 47,383 4,803 ● The CRD calculator uses the original 2007 and 2010 vehicle registration data, whereas the original inventory used the published 2012 data (which contained the 2007 and 2010 data which was modified based on changes to the 2012 methodology). During the preparation of the CRD calculator, it was brought to light there are concerns with the 2012 data which impacted the 2007 and 2010 values. As such, the original CEEI 2007 and 2010 data was used in the CRD calculator. In the original inventory, transportation GHG emissions were estimated based on population growth and the number of registered vehicles in 2012 whereas the CRD inventory uses 2010 vehicle registration data. The original inventory used the estimated Vehicle Kilometer Travelled (VKT) data and fuel efficiency factors that were used in the BC CEEIs which were derived from AirCare data. As the AirCare data program ended in 2014, the CRD inventory uses VKT data and fuel efficiency factors that are generated and used by Environment Canada (EC) in their calculation of Provincial and Federal GHG emissions. Results in a ~8,500 tCO2e increase in GHG emissions.
● BC Transit GHG emissions were allocated based on total service population, rather than the CRD population as was done in the original inventory. Results in an ~5,000 tCO2e decline.
Transboundary Transportation 106,745 115,881 9,136 ● See above note.
Off-Road Transportation: Aviation, Waterborne, and Other Off-Road 57,732 40,436 -17,296 ● Land and marine based aviation GHG emissions were assigned on a per capita basis. There were some changes to the Provinces population counts between inventories resulting in a decline of aviation emissions. There was also a methodology change in the assignment in marine aviation GHG emissions. The GPC Protocol provided updated guidance on the assignment of aviation emissions allowing these to be assigned as Scope 3 GHG emissions regardless of the location of the airport(s). On this basis, all marine aviation emissions were assigned on a per capita basis to all municipalities. This resulted in a decline of ~2,500 tCO2e.
● In the original inventory, the BC Ferries GHG emissions were allocated based on a per capita basis for Vancouver Island. Since BC Ferries also serves the Vancouver coast population, the methodology was changed and the BC ferries value was prorated based on the Vancouver Island and Vancouver South Coast population in the CRD inventory. Results in a decline of ~27,500 tCO2e.
● The GVHA reported on cruise ship emissions which increased the City’s GHG emissions by ~11,600 tCO2e.
● ECCC NIR updated 2018 numbers for other off-road emissions. (Original 750,000 tCO2e; Updated 682,000 tCO2e). A slightly higher population value (produced by the Province was used which results in an ~1,200 tCO2e increase.
Waste Waste: Solid Waste Disposal, Biological Treatment of Waste, Wastewater Treatment and Discharge 31,078 29,957 -1,121 ● In the original inventory, wastewater volumes were allocated based on a 2015 study whereas the CRD values are based on Total annual volume of wastewater by municipality. Results in an ~600 tCO2e increase.
● The original inventory pro-rated Hartland Landfill GHG emissions based on total volume of waste (estimated by the City) sent to landfill. The CRD inventory assigns 31% of waste emissions to the City of Victoria. Results in a decrease of ~1,700 tCO2e.
AFOLU AFOLU: Livestock, Land, and Other Agriculture -548 -2,224 -1,676 ● For the CRD inventory, the BC MOE provided BC based land-use emissions factors and there was a change in the calculation methodologies based on land-use data at the CRD level. Results in a decrease of GHG emissions by ~1,700 tCO2e.
IPPU IPPU: Industrial Processes, and Product Use 29,919 29,654 -265 ● ECCC NIR updated 2018 numbers for IPPU GHG emissions. Results in a decline of ~300 tCO2e.
Total GHG Emissions 453,488 452,567 -921
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Extracted from: 2020 11 10 Committee of the Whole Agenda - Agenda - Pdf